Very Long Bear Market Forecast

Submitted By Michael Michaud
Losing Money
The Very Long Bear Market Forecast and Losing $2 Billion "Hard Day" for Pension Fund Officer


Imagine what $2 billion would buy. How many college tuitions would that pay for? How many gas tanks would that fill? Not to mention things like clothes and groceries.

Between 9:30 a.m. and 4 p.m. Eastern on Thursday, May 20, two billion dollars vanished from a pension fund.

After the Dow closed down 376 points on that day, the chief investment officer of a major state pension fund talked with CNBC. After, the interviewer noted the fund had assets of $204 billion, the manager replied, "You said 204 in the intro . . . It's 202 now, so $2 billion in a day. It's a hard day. It's a hard day." He went on to mention, "We're just under 2% cash . . . we're overweight still a little bit in global equity and fixed income."

"Under 2% cash" is not that uncommon these days. In a new report mutual funds are showing an average of 3.5% cash. This figure matches the all-time low, which occurred in July 2007, the month when the Dow Industrials plus the transports combination made its all-time high.

The 2007-2009 stock market crash was bad enough for pension funds; then, making matters worse, some "doubled-down" in risky assets only to see the market crater. Of course, it failed, which is partly why public pensions are in such tough shape now. The effort to grab for yield yet again, especially after such spectacular losses just over a year ago, suggests an even worse result this time.

A May 19, PRNewswire report provides a sobering glimpse of the overall picture for pension funds: " . . . several state pension funds will not last the decade, a situation that will place tremendous pressure on the federal government to bail out financially insolvent states at a price tag likely to match or exceed the recent bailout of the U.S. financial system. An April report from the American Enterprise Institute adds that, "State pension funds are underfunded by $3 trillion."

Translation: Retirement dreams of Hawaiian beaches, Paris cafes, or "RVing" across long stretches of beautiful landscapes could be in jeopardy in the years ahead for millions.

This is not a risk-free world. Whether you entrust your retirement to a fund, the government, or try and take control of it yourself, good results are not guaranteed. Yet an independent perspective on the markets has already proved invaluable for many future retirees.

Robert Prechter on Yahoo! Finance: "On Schedule for a Very, Very Long Bear Market"

Robert Prechter discussed the recent global sell-off that has sent all major
U.S. averages 10% below their 2010 highs with Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host
Aaron Task on May 20, 2010. Prechter says that the current climate shows that "we're
in a wave of recognition" where the fundamentals are catching up to the
technicals and that it's time to prepare for a "long way down."

Don't believe current recovery hype. Check the hard facts, and your own independent analysis before you go buying into this market right now.

Watch the video below and you'll learn why the worst is NOT over and what you can do to safeguard your financial future.




Click here for the free report that can safeguard your financial future.

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