Investor strangles medical technology supplier, Cerner

Submitted By Philip R. Davis

Today’s tickers: CERN, DOW, AA, NTAP & BAC

CERN – Cerner Corp. – Recent hints that President-elect Obama would drag hospital and doctor’s office technology into the 21st century have done wonders for Cerner – a specialist in providing infrastructure in this field. With its shares 1.9% higher at $38.95 to close the year, option traders raised a flag today with a 10,000 lot spread trade on the company, where only 17,343 lots exists. We’re just guessing from the positioning today that an investor is already long the stock and has used options expiring in June to help lock into a profitable position. The trade involved the sale of 10,000 call options at the 42.5 strike for a 3.30 credit, coupled with the purchase of 10,000 put options at the 32.5 strike. A shareholder would therefore benefit from a rise in the shares and at expiration could have them called away at the strike price, which would fuel gains of around 10% in addition to those resulting from wherever the shares were originally purchased. Should Cerner lose value, the long put position should increase in value and since the investor is actually taking a net credit here, it’s all the better.

DOWDow Chemicals. – Investors are still reeling form the collapse of the Kuwait Petrochemical join-venture and seem to be questioning what Dow’s response will be in terms of capital expenditure for 2009. Shares are down yet again today and are bucking the broad market trend. At $15.08 they have lost a further 3%. Meanwhile open interest in bearish put positions has jumped from 3,300 one week ago to 8,325 contracts at the January 12.5 strike indicative of investors’ belief that the show isn’t over yet. And today investors have added what appear to be many more bearish bets that Dow will continue to decline before options expiration. Some 11,700 contracts have been traded at 20-25 cents so far today as bears seem to have no intention of letting go of this story.

AA – Alcoa Inc. – For the second day in a row shares of Alcoa are rebounding on the value theme having been decimated from a 2008 peak of $44.42 down to $6.82. In the final session of the year its shares are 4.5% better at $11.21. Option spreaders have sold call options expiring in January 2009 at the 10 strike in exchange for calls expiring in 2010 at the…
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