A Quick Quad-Market Assessment of the Selloff Thursday

Submitted By Corey Rosenbloom

With all major markets falling sharply on Thursday, I though it would be a good idea to take a quick “fly-by” glance at the daily charts of the S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil and then the US Dollar Index.

Let’s start with the S&P 500:

A quick glance shows the “Cradle” sell signal was accurate, as I highlighted in yesterday’s post:

Overhead Cradle Resistance in the S&P 500.

What now?  The 20 and 50 day EMAs have officially crossed ‘bearishly,’ and the S&P 500 cracked under the critical 1,070 and 1,080 support zone.

A quick glance shows that the next level of likely support rests with the October and November 2009 lows in the 1,020 and 1,030 region.

Next, Gold Daily:

Gold had another $50 point loss today, similar to that of December 4th (ironic one-month anniversary).

Gold also broke the critical $1,070 support zone I highlighted in a prior post:

Critical Line in the Sand for GLD/Gold“  (sellers broke the critical level)

It would appear that odds favor a completion of the Bear Flag (blue line) in Gold down to the $1,020 level (ironically, similarly to the S&P 500 index level).  Again, that is a quick chart assessment.

Crude Oil:

The $72.00 level in Crude Oil represents a critical level not yet (officially) broken, though should sellers push price down two more dollars, then the essential support line at $70.00 would come into play.

A break under $70.00 would target the $65.00 level - September’s swing low.

Crude Oil - like the S&P 500 - also formed a Cradle Sell Signal on the short-lived rally back to the $77.00 area (notice the doji that formed at that level).

The US Dollar Index:

Finally, the US Dollar Index looks solidly to be on trajectory to complete its daily bull flag, as also mentioned in:

Bull Flag Formation in the US Dollar Index

and

Dollar Index Update:  A Bump in the Road to Complete the Bull Flag?

The $80.50/$81.00 level reflects both the Bull Flag completion target and a prior level of overhead resistance from July.

Continue watching these levels across these important markets.

To stay up to day regularly with opportunities and targets/structure for these markets, including the 10-Year Notes, become a member of the Weekly Intermarket Report service, which is a 20+ PDF document published each week which provides regular commentary on the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts of these markets.

Corey Rosenbloom, CMT
Afraid to Trade.com

Follow Corey on Twitter:  http://twitter.com/afraidtotrade



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